Landing in Kiev for the second time in four months, the first thing I noticed was that the weather has gotten decidedly colder. Ukraine’s frosty relationship with Russia reflects the dropping temperatures. The mood in Kiev was tense when I visited in September, but it’s much worse now.

The Ukrainian military and pro-Russian separatists recommitted themselves to a ceasefire in early December, but it seems as fragile and unlikely to last as the agreement that was reached in September. Since I was last in Ukraine, at least 140 people have...


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